Market expert expects status quo in upcoming MPC amid global uncertainty

Market analysts expect the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) to keep the policy rate unchanged at 10.5% in its upcoming Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting to be held on Monday. “The world is negotiating peace amid uncertainty; therefore, at a time like this, we believe policy must continue to lean toward discipline over impulse. We expect the SBP to keep the policy rate unchanged at 10.5% in the Apr’27 MPS,” said Arif Habib Limited (AHL) in its report. AHL was of the view that global conditions have stayed unsettled, with US–Iran tensions continuing to steer sentiment. “In this environment, oil has remained a swing factor, sharp enough to move markets, but not stable enough to define a clear trend.”